He is listed as xB. They have had sufficient time to prove their ability. I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. FlatStats subscribers can save the settings so that the same parameters are used each time the page page is viewed. . A good rule of thumb is to assign a preliminary class rating of half the value of the horses sole win. Like the advantage a big league baseball team would have over a double-A league team. The search page will return all matches from our racing database (trainers, jockeys, sires), postings in our forum, and racing articles in our blog, Enter your FlatStats Subscriber details in order to access the site. Trainer
A dropped head is a sign your horse is relaxed and feeling good, and his ears will often hang to the side as well. Key, Past Winners I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. Alm
That was declared to be a poorer Derby than of recent years but it was still a Class A declared event. Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather 8 either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Today's But it got me wondering? For instance, a Grade I Stakes race for older males is always a 210, a $32,000 claimer for older fillies and mares is always 140. Stats InfoThe stats on this page can be shown in basic or advanced mode. Today, the class drop may be enough to help the horse achieve a win. Travellers, In Form Trainer You should look out for a horse who has been dropped in class as it means that they will invariably be contesting against weaker horses. Another option: Try BETUS! The same principle holds true in horse racing. The exception to this rule is the There are literally thousands of horses that race each day in America and abroad. Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. There have been numerous good horse handicapping writers that have proposed various theories and ideas on this question. Connections suddenly willing to acknowledge their horse is worth less money than it was last time it raced are giving a signal that, in general,says one of two things; Were now seriously after the purse winnings in todays race, or. Stl%
The following lists the rules (or criteria) to which the horse must adhere. Results, Course At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to Winners: 1,815. Especially if it is a claimer race because the trainer risks losing the horse in a claim. Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. Changers, Good Performers Last But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. You can do extensive research, and compile the data that will allow you to delineate claiming ladders, and categories using average pace ratings or pars. Your email address will not be published. Above Average Edge, Case Studies
Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather "Blindingly Obvious", Sire & Dam Stats
If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. Stats, One Ride Make a note of horses that are dropping in class, who ran a speed rating faster than class in their last race and those that are well handicapped. Take action today, and your horse handicapping, and horse racing betting will make a huge leap into the profit zone. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. I prefer AW onlyis there a subscription for this. website is for entertainment purposes only. Raw Adj
If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. ?--or is this available in november? Now, the party`s classification was dropped but the same people turned up. Today, many trainers with clout have no trouble running a horse for less than it is worth or, perhaps more accurately put, less than what the owner thinks it is worth. However, how do we know when that situation Your email address will not be published. What do you guys and gals do when you see this? The member asked. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. "Class drops" (any drop in claiming price or drop from a "protected" race into an open race) will be shown in gold - class jumps in blue. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. NEWS.. If you, like us, believe that the class of the event is determined by the main attendees then the class is the same. By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. Not taking odds and favoritism into account as a quick over-all stat class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! ineffective conditioner. Runners, One Runner ALSO THERE WAS NO DATE RULE TO THIS SYSTEM SO YOU CAN MAYBE FACTOR THAN IN OR NOT. Runners, Available Data he or she becomes a vulnerable favorite. I USE THE 30 DAY RULE OR IGNORE THIS IF PAYOFFS ARE HIGH.
ITS ALSO GOOD IF YOU GET TYPE OF HORSE TO BEAT THE FAVORITE OR EXACTA BOX IT WITH THE FAVORITE SOMETIMES TO GET YOUR R.O.I UP. Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. Login; Register; Help; HOME RACES Today's . Stats, Tipping Hall of It just goes to show that there are your disposal. strictly prohibited. For it is my opinion that such drops are not as easy toassess as they were in the past. Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes. Recently, on the Homeless Handicappers Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. 4-1 TO 5-1. Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write(''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. With the Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. Race Ratings, Race Title
Fame, Betting Dropping a class may also raise your GPA because it can allow you to spend more time on other classes and raise your grades in them. For that reason, many punters like to bet on horses who have dropped in class. We at UK Horse Racing think not. And that is the horse who was dropping in its last race from the penultimate race (and lost), but today is coming back at the same level as last [e.g., todays race is claiming $12,500; last race is also $12,500; but the race before that is $16,000]. Runners, Available Data Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. Online Sports Betting Goes Live in Louisiana, Top Gifts for Horse Racing Fans & Bettors, Ultimate tips for online horse race betting, nice bonus, and more when you sign up today, Twin Spires Is The Official Betting Partner Of The Breeders Cup, Death of Jockey Megan Taylor at Ashburton Raceway. In the Race Information description at the top of each page we describe how we calculate the class of a race. Results. Are there any easy-to-spot signs that make a suspicious drop in class following a claim, well, suspicious? Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. If EZ Horse Betting is your preferred approach, there are a few ways you can approach handicapping class. SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. 3]IF MORE THAN ONE PLAY IN A RACE.. THEN TOP HORSE IS THE ONE WITH THE MOST LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT AT THE FINISH!! Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. Class Changers. Only horses with at least 10 runs included. Heres an example. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey Horse has won at least one race. Has the party dropped in class or has it stayed the same? An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. Runners, One Runner BasicsThe FlatStats Daily Stats page shows a selection of stats for today's racing. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. Any horse that drops suspiciously in. The exception to this rule is turf routes. This Musselburgh 13:50. CSV Fields, The Differentials
Our statistics for horse races are updated regularly and pull in all the racehorses who are dropped in class. If you have a horse who drops, you'll know what I'm talking about! With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in today's race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at today's race class level. Figures from flat turf and all weather. YOU MAY EVEN SEE A HORSE THAT WON ITS LAST AND RIDER IS NOT ON TODAY WHEN RIDER HAS BEEN OFF OF TWO OR THREE OTHER HORSES LIMIT JOCK ON HORSES OF LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES ONLY. When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? 9. Here is the full list of racehorses who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. We would say that it was lower. . This applies to a horse that hasnt won in its last 10 races. I set up British Racecourses with the desire to share my passion for racing with other like-minded people. Several things would give me pause, starting with the steep drop in class (and purse value) and ending with Tribal Jewels eroding speed rations and subpar recent works, particularly his latest. speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). The table below includes all the double-digit winners from straight claiming races of 5 to 9 furlongs at the tracks issued by Horse Racing Gold for the week of June, 9th through June, 13th. It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? Table ranked by place strike rate. Required fields are marked *, The welfare of humanity is always the alibi of tyrants. Albert Camus, The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. HERES HOW IT GOES ;; Accepted. track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. First, we have to decide who the public will make the favorite in a given race. If you are really struggling with a class, dropping . You can access these pages by browsing the Stats section of the menu bar. However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. Click here to visit Bovada! Stats, Jockey Flat Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the first time but has previously worn different headgear. The negative drop down angle seems to have lost its bite in recent years.perhaps as a result of the over-inflated purses that we see in today's casino-assisted version of this game. Table ranked by win strike rate. this level. So the question is when do you know when that favorite is going to win? given date. I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. Welcomes global players. But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. CPos
Jockey, Horse Stats By Race considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. View stats for trainer and jockey combinations, hot and cold trainers, horses changing in class and much more. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. FCP%
Fame, Betting Alternatively, you can read the Ignition Casino review first. Data, 90 Day Tipping Thoroughbreds are born to run but they do not all possess the same talent level. Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. The desire to run and compete is inherent but it is not always enough. Ratings, Course Stats By Chaotic Races Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. Allowing for the draw bias, visualise the running of the race. Simply put, good trainers win races, bad ones dont. Runners, Shrewd Trainer WtD
Runners, Shrewd Trainer If he's standing in his stall or pasture with a lowered head, he's probably either resting or asleep; call his name and make your approach obvious so you don't startle him. The fastest athlete wins. . Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt Days
Any maiden who has at least six starts and is not dropping in Handicappers, Well determine if a favorite is vulnerable. Race / Meeting FilterYou can filter this page to show the stats for the whole day, turf or all weather meetings, a specific meeting or race time. In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. type. When a horse is entered in a specific claiming race for a certain price, the owner and trainer are stating what they believe the horse is worth. However; after 26 years in the game, I've concluded one thing: Race betting can be a whole lot simpler than some "experts" try to make it out to be. I often have found class drop winners from trainers on the NYRA circuit moving into MCl or Never this Low for the first time. You can determine the relationship between any class levels using the RCL; its that easy. 100.00%. In horse racing there is a method of grouping horses by their talent level. Cards, Search today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. Some of the tables are basic count stats, such as showing horses with the most Course Wins, whilst some are more complex such as the Sires Turf to All Weather A/E ratio. As the Founder of British Racecourses, I have a life-long passion for horse racing and have loved the sport as long as I can remember. Two of which By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. e.g. These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. This gives you a little margin for error because all of the rivals beaten by the horse in its maiden win may not have been $20,000 horses. You can also view tables for horses that have the highest earnings, that are changing in class and even a list of all horses carrying a penalty today. The There are many tables on this page but each of them are useful for analysing today's races from a stats point of view. Often, a horse will run well when fresh and second-time starter, still a maiden. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. Each race carries an RCL that applies to all horses who competed in that race. Thats an amazing statistic with My question is simple.Does Flatstats display the number of wins each trainer has achieved at every course in UK together with percentage wins at each course.? Read reviews by other subscribers or leave your own review on. NOT LENGTHS UNLESS NEAR 6 1/4L We support responsible gambling, so in case you require information about gambling addiction or need support please use the link BeGambleAware. Check our Bovada racebook review, Twinspires review or even our Betamerica review. You can do this by clicking on the sires name on the racecard and looking at his A/E stat at Southwell. Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. Please email me with any questions at cv. Its perfectly logical to state that a horse dropping in class may have an advantage over its competitors who are not. As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. Stats, One Ride So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any This is called the Handicapped, Class A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. [[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? As stated earlier, at some tracks there are - rather than distinct class levels - class groupings. Many angles (I.e.) Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. A class drop is always an important factor in handicapping a race. is going to take place? No Recent Victories Learning to spot one of these class angles is sometimes all the handicapping you need to pick a winner. All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. Trying a New Distance or Surface Today Period. Differential Columns
The favorite must have at least tactical It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. The Accuracy
Read through all the free materials on this site - then check out: our products . Results. All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. The game revolves around money in every regard. This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no Travellers, In Form Trainer As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. Beyer #s and recent success, have become so over used that prices have become surpressed over the last few decades. Raw
Distance wins are from both all weather and turf. Wins at the course (all weather track). Win Rate: 17.5%. By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. Click the Reset Button to clear existing filters. ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. Key, Past Winners The reason for that is that these horses are competing with weaker horses (even though in a handicap race they may have to carry more weight). Within each of these categories are also many levels. I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . Lets take American football as an example. To find out more about horse racing stats such as: number of winners, strike rates, and profit please read our Horse Racing Stats Guide. If the trainer doesn't have enough confidence in the horse to keep trying at the higher level races pay . Guest are limited to viewing 3 items per table. Why not Subscribe Now and view the full stats for today? If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. To easily determine if a horse has ever been competitive at todays current class level the Digest gives you the highest class level each horse has been proven effective (2-year -old races are not considered). Race Information
Value
For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. Course Stats, Latest 50% free bets up to $250 5% cash back. Trainer, Course Stats By 8. If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the first time it may have worn other head gear previously. Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. must be 5/8 or more. First Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. Eclipse Sportswire. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed Recently, on the " Homeless Handicappers " Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. Maybe someone has already done some work in that area. Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. Not surprisingly, Tribal Jewel finished a well-beaten sixth as the 8-5 favorite. Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather A horse with this type of "form" should clearly be stepped up in class, or at an absolute minimum, kept at the same level. And look at what happens when those same horses compete . Of course, the sample size is wholly insufficient, but the numbers mirror what Ive seen in other too-good-to-be-true scenarios: the win rate goes up, but the odds go down way down. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? 6. representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. Changers, Distance 33.33%. Stats, Trainer Flat Required fields are marked *. Read more about Sample Size and Confidence Figures. And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). ]]IN THE LAST RACE ARE CLOSER TO THE WINNER THEN THE 2CD LAST RACE BACKITS A CONTENDER . Usually, whatever malady sent it to the sidelines has been corrected In , By Ray Wallin Just about 90% of people fail to reach their strategic goals. individual. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. Code, Trainer Horse Advertising on UK Horse Racing. Age
If a horse is dramatically dropping in class Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer thaskalos. involved. 1] FIND ALL HORSES WHOSE DROPPING IN CLASS [2CD] RACE BACK TO THE LAST RACE [[AND]] TODAYS CLASS IS LOWER OR EQUAL TO THE CLASS OF THE LAST RACE.
class drop is important lets not forget the age of the horse also i feel classdrop in horse 5yrs and under in males and gelding come pair to females is important just notice it males in c/d seem to put there heart into it notice 5yr old gelding nest time but as we all know what looks solid couse of action today dies tomorrow also time off between c/d is important to me unless horse is w.o. Sample Ratings
Stats, Longest competition. Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. Summary Overview, Malcolm's Method
away from the post-time favorite as much as possible. Class drops are just one approach. All Rights Reserved. 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! Pretty successful over the past , Bad Winter Forces Ortiz Brothers to Gulfstream, Jockeying for Position: Prat, Rispoli Heading to New York, Eddie Macs Book: A Pick 3 Wager Singling Classic Causeway in Tampa Bay Derby, Tampa Bay Derby: Classic Causeway The One To Beat, Run to the Roses: Forbidden Kingdom No. b) Raced within 24 days and a work within eight days If a horse is dramatically dropping in class. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. while false favorites do not. Stats, All Green Knowing about Street Shark's performance exiting the July 23 race, I could not possibly understand why the horse that beat him was suddenly be dropped in class. ITS BEEN AROUND A LONG TIME. These races make up the majority of races at any race track on a given day. Saddled by a Losing Trainer
6. A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. Toss it. c) Raced within 30 days and two works within 14 days View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. Table ranked by earnings. There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. Table ranked by earnings per start. Because we look at the participants and not the labelling. The only way to make money at the racetrack is to think and act differently than your . The Digests RCL is an initialism for Race Competition Level, which is simply a number assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. U.S. etc..). Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. Run, BetTurtle Horse It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt More Racing StatsFlatStats has dozens of stats for you to view such as stats for first time geldings, change of trainer, sires on soft ground and much more. been proven, year after year that favorites lose 67% of the time. 7. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt Horse Handicapping | Horse Racing Handicapping, (by the simple definition given earlier) =. 33% of the time. Table ranked by number of days since last win. Movers, 1st Time We don't use the BHB classifications as this is nothing but a wish on behalf of the BHB on they would want the line-up of the race to be. Changers, Distance Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Handicappers, Well Stats, All Green